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This paper critiques the conventional query-conditional scoring in information retrieval systems and proposes a framework that treats relevance as approximate posterior inference, integrating query-dependent likelihoods with query-independent priors. By extending classical probabilistic retrieval methods to modern learned systems, the authors demonstrate that this approach allows for offline computation, enhancing document-level and interaction-level beliefs. Empirical results show that incorporating a learned prior significantly boosts retrieval effectiveness, achieving notable improvements in nDCG scores across multiple datasets with minimal query-time computation.
Shifting from query-time scoring to a relevance posterior framework can enhance retrieval effectiveness while reducing computational demands.
Modern information retrieval systems typically operationalise relevance as a query-conditional score computed at inference time. This design choice has become dominant such that alternative decompositions of relevance are rarely discussed, despite the long history of document and query priors in probabilistic retrieval and large-scale search. As neural ranking models grow more computationally expensive and retrieval pipelines expand to include multi-stage ranking, recommendation, and retrieval-augmented generation, this monolithic view of query-time scoring becomes increasingly limiting. We argue that modern information access systems are more naturally understood as performing approximate posterior inference, in which relevance is refined through a staged combination of query-dependent likelihoods and query-independent priors. We extend classical probabilistic retrieval formalisms to contemporary learned systems and show how explicit likelihood-prior decomposition exposes new opportunities to shift computation offline while disentangling document-level and interaction-level beliefs. We present empirical evidence that incorporating query-independent document utility can complement existing rankers and improve effectiveness with minimal query-time computation (solely score fusion). Concretely, a learned prior improves first-stage retrieval through rank fusion (up to Δ nDCG@10 ≈ 0.046 on TREC DL-2019 and ≈ 0.029 on TREC DL-2020) and also improves downstream re-ranking, with the largest gains observed for the LLM re-ranker RankZephyr (up to Δ nDCG@10 ≈ 0.054 on TREC DL-2020). Finally, we discuss how this decomposition connects to broader information access and outline research directions for designing retrieval systems that explicitly allocate modelling capacity between offline priors and online interaction.