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We identify a diagonal saturation principle in modal inverse problems: when truncation noise is isotropic, the Bayes-optimal Tikhonov shape is a closed-form power law Gamma_k proportional to lambda_k^|s| set by the prior alone, independent of the domain. Berry's random-wave conjecture decorrelates the truncation noise across modes, and Weyl's eigenvalue counting law supplies enough modes for the conclusion to survive empirical Berry violations. Together they predict an approximately flat loss landscape across the per-mode family, leaving narrow scope for a diagonal regularizer to robustly beat the closed form. On FEM-simulated acoustic rooms, the closed form is near-optimal relative to per-room oracle tuning across observation windows, and three diagonal architectures trained on the same data match its reconstruction error within 1 pp despite learning qualitatively different spectra. The framework extends to heat diffusion via a known exponential Green's function correction with no new free parameters. Saturation is restricted to the diagonal family: Learned Iterative Ridge crosses the boundary by exploiting cross-mode coupling, locating where learning starts to help.
