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This paper introduces a parallel, GPU-accelerated implementation of iterative qubit coupled cluster (iQCC) method for quantum chemistry simulations. The key innovation involves distributing Hamiltonian terms across compute nodes and offloading Pauli contractions to GPUs, achieving two orders of magnitude speedup over CPU approaches. Applying this to ruthenium catalysts in the 100-124 qubit regime, the method surpasses the accuracy of Density Matrix Renormalization Group, suggesting that quantum advantage for chemistry may require significantly more than 50 qubits.
Quantum advantage in chemistry may be further off than we thought: a new GPU-accelerated iQCC implementation simulates 100-200 qubit systems, outperforming classical methods on industrially relevant ruthenium catalysts.
We introduce a parallel, GPU-accelerated implementation of the iterative qubit coupled cluster (iQCC) method that overcomes the exponential growth of the transformed Hamiltonian -- the principal bottleneck for classical emulation of quantum chemistry circuits. By distributing Hamiltonian terms across compute nodes via bit-wise partitioning and offloading Pauli contractions to GPUs, we achieve speedups exceeding two orders of magnitude over the serial CPU approach. Crucially, iQCC confines the variational evolution to a classically simulable operator subspace by selecting entanglers exclusively from the Direct Interaction Space, which guarantees non-vanishing energy gradients at every iteration and thereby naturally avoids the barren-plateau phenomenon that renders highly expressive quantum circuits untrainable. Leveraging these algorithmic and hardware advances, we simulate electronic-structure Hamiltonians for industrially relevant ruthenium catalysts in the 100--124 qubit regime, completing full ground-state calculations on NVIDIA GPUs in the ranges of 1.2 - 45 hrs and surpassing the accuracy of Density Matrix Renormalization Group. These results effectively de-quantize a significant portion of the NISQ roadmap: quantum advantage for chemistry is often assumed to emerge beyond ${\sim}50$ qubits, yet our work demonstrates that this frontier lies significantly further -- potentially past 200 qubits -- reshaping expectations for where genuine quantum advantage may first appear.