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The paper introduces Refute-or-Promote, a multi-agent review methodology designed to improve the precision of LLM-assisted defect discovery by filtering out false positives. This pipeline uses adversarial agents to refute candidate defects, stratified context hunting for candidate generation, and cross-model critics to catch blind spots. Applied to security libraries, compilers, and the C++ standard, the pipeline achieved a 79-83% kill rate of candidate defects, leading to the discovery of CVEs, compiler bugs, and standard conformance issues.
LLMs are great at finding potential bugs, but terrible at telling real ones from hallucinations – this new pipeline filters out 80% of the noise, leading to multiple real-world security and compliance fixes.
LLM-assisted defect discovery has a precision crisis: plausible-but-wrong reports overwhelm maintainers and degrade credibility for real findings. We present Refute-or-Promote, an inference-time reliability pattern combining Stratified Context Hunting (SCH) for candidate generation, adversarial kill mandates, context asymmetry, and a Cross-Model Critic (CMC). Adversarial agents attempt to disprove candidates at each promotion gate; cold-start reviewers are intended to reduce anchoring cascades; cross-family review can catch correlated blind spots that same-family review misses. Over a 31-day campaign across 7 targets (security libraries, the ISO C++ standard, major compilers), the pipeline killed roughly 79% of 171 candidates before advancing to disclosure (retrospective aggregate); on a consolidated-protocol subset (lcms2, wolfSSL; n=30), the prospective kill rate was 83%. Outcomes: 4 CVEs (3 public, 1 embargoed); LWG 4549 accepted to the C++ working paper; 5 merged C++ editorial PRs; 3 compiler conformance bugs; 8 merged security-related fixes without CVE; an RFC 9000 errata filed under committee review; and 1+ FIPS 140-3 normative compliance issues under coordinated disclosure -- all evaluated by external acceptance, not benchmarks. The most instructive failure: ten dedicated reviewers unanimously endorsed a non-existent Bleichenbacher padding oracle in OpenSSL's CMS module; it was killed only by a single empirical test, motivating the mandatory empirical gate. No vulnerability was discovered autonomously; the contribution is external structure that filters LLM agents'persistent false positives. As a preliminary transfer test beyond defect discovery, a simplified cross-family critique variant also solved five previously unsolved SymPy instances on SWE-bench Verified and one SWE-rebench hard task.